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From the main page, clicking on the icon under the title opens up a modal dialogue box that is displayed in the following figures. This modal gives the user access to data from four different simulations and a real dataset. I will briefly outline each of the simulations below.

Simulation 1

This simulation is based on the data generation process described by King and Neilsen1. Essentially, it contains two experiments—a fully blocked randomised experiment and a completely randomised experiment—hidden within an imbalanced “observational” dataset. If you look at Figure 3, the first plot (top left) makes this clearer. The fully blocked randomised experiment is in the top right corner of the plot which is demonstrated by the treated (red) and untreated (blue) units being virtually right on top of one another. The completely randomised experiment is just below it in the bottom right corner of the plot and you can clearly see that there are similar numbers of treated and control units but they are not exactly matched. The imbalanced observational data is represented by the placement of the untreated unit on the left of the plot.

Figure 1. Simulation 1 Preview

The purpose of this simulation in the paper was to demonstrate the ability of different matching methods to select the units in a logical order. Ideally, the data from the fully blocked randomised experiment should be matched first, then the data from the completely randomised experiment. It has been included in the app as it provides a clear demonstration of the performance of mahalanobis-based distance matching versus propensity score-based distance matching.

In the app, you are able to change the treatment effect but that should not change the outcome of the matching process in any way, only the calculation of the treatment estimate.

Simulation 2

Simulation 2 is also taken from King and Neilsen1 however the data is very different. This simulation uses two overlapping uniform distributions that both affect the treatment received and the outcome. When visualising the two covariates, X1 and X2, on a two dimensional field, the data has the appearance of a square of treated units overlapped by a square of untreated units. This can be clearly seen in the top left plot in Figure 4 below.

Figure 2. Simulation 2 Preview

Users have the ability to change the range of the uniform distribution, the strength of association between the covariates (X1 and X2) and the treatment variable (t), and the treatment effect on the outcome (y). Probably the most useful illustration of this data is to compare the same method of matching but change whether replacement is used or not. It can be particularly striking if there is a strong association between the covariates and treatment.

Simulation 3

This simulation uses causal relationships to define the effects between the treatment, covariates, and outcome. There are five options available to the user that can change the data generation relationships between the treatment indicator t, the outcome y and two covariates X1 and X2. Figure 5 demonstrates how each of the options fit into a causal diagram with an arrow pointing in the direction of the assumed effect in the data generation process.

Figure 3. Simulation 3 Casual Relationships

To generate the data, first we create the covariates, X1 and X2, as a bivariate normal distribution with a covariate correlation of 0.2. The treatment variable is then generated based on the selection after which the function then iteratively works through the selected options and applies changes to the data as appropriate. It should be noted that the user can not change the strength of the effects in this simulation. Nor can the relationship between t and y be changed, although they can both be altered via X1 and X2. Other than the causal relationship, only the treatment effect can be modified. This has been done to allow for simple data generation. Figure 6 below gives an overview of what the generated data may look like.

Figure 4. Simulation 3 Preview

Simulation 4

This is the last simulation. Like simulation 3, X1 and X2 are taken from a bivariate normal distribution. However, in this simulation, X1 and X2 can effectively act as confounder, an ancestor of t, or an ancestor of y. This is achieved by altering the weights of the effect on the treatment or the effect on the outcome. In addition, you can change the covariance correlation which will increase the correlation of X1 and X2. See Figure 7 below for a preview of what the data from Simulation 4 may look like.

Figure 5. Simulation 4 Preview

Real Data - FEV

The Forced Expiratory Volume dataset is available from the mplot2 package. For the purposes of the app, it has been utilised to demonstrate how matching works on real data using smoke as the treatment variable and fev as the outcome. This dataset was ideal for this project because it was relatively small, contains only a few variables, and contains a treatment and outcome variable. A preview of the data is below in Figure 8.

Figure 6. Forced Expiratory Volume Preview

References

1. King G, Nielsen R. Why Propensity Scores Should Not Be Used for Matching. Political Analysis. 2019;27(4):435-454. doi:10.1017/pan.2019.11
2. Tarr G, Müller S, Welsh AH. mplot: An R package for graphical model stability and variable selection procedures. Journal of Statistical Software. 2018;83(9):1-28. doi:10.18637/jss.v083.i09